Bitcoin Price Forecast for Q2 2025: Signals, Trends, and Altseason Index Comparison
As the second quarter of 2025 begins, the cryptocurrency market continues to attract investors worldwide. Bitcoin (BTC) remains the centerpiece of this space, setting the tone for the overall market sentiment. At the same time, attention is shifting to the Altseason Index — a key indicator that reflects the dominance of altcoins over Bitcoin. In this article, we’ll explore the current BTC trends and compare them with the behavior of altcoins.
The Overall Market: BTC at a Crossroads
As of mid-April 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $84,000. Despite some short-term dips, the overall chart structure remains bullish, with consolidation forming above the 200-day moving average.
Key growth drivers:
• Inflow of institutional investments via ETFs (a way to invest in a basket of assets by purchasing a single security. For example: a Bitcoin ETF is tied to BTC’s price — you buy the ETF as if you’re holding BTC, but without wallets or blockchain involvement);
• Lowering of interest rates by the Federal Reserve;
• High demand from emerging economies.
However, the market remains sensitive to macroeconomic news, and volatility stays elevated.
BTC Forecast for Q2 2025
• Base scenario: growth to $90,000–$95,000;
• Aggressive scenario: breakout above $100,000 followed by a pullback;
• Bearish scenario: retracement to $58,000 amid negative macro conditions.
Altseason Index: Is Spring Coming for Altcoins — or Not?
The Altseason Index measures the share of altcoins outperforming BTC over a 90-day period. The scale is as follows:
• 0–24: Bitcoin Season;
• 25–75: Neutral phase;
• 76–100: Altseason.
As of mid-April 2025, the index hovers around 15, indicating a very low level — firmly within Bitcoin Season.
BTC vs Altcoins: Who Will Win Q2?
Bitcoin remains the anchor of the crypto market. The falling Altseason Index suggests BTC is strengthening and stabilizing. Investors should closely monitor the index and allocate their portfolios accordingly, taking into account the evolving risk/reward dynamics.
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